Wednesday September 25 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX chops and rises. With $SPY consolidating at all time highs, where is the next move?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5685, 5672, and 5720.

I’m not interested in longing 5700 now. We need more volatility. I would consider a long on dip and defense at 5685, or even 5672. Then we can push up through 5720, which I would consider the long on 5+ points above there if we don’t test lower first. Next up are 5741…

This is what happened. However, the best we got was a dip to 5700 in the regular session so I didn’t take it. Still, the levels played out remarkably well, especially with the overnight rally pushing us up to the 5741 SPX level. We then saw a dip to defend at 5715, and push to 5720.

See how well the levels work?

During the regular session, while we defended at 5700, I had already mentioned that I wasn't interested in longing that dip and was looking for lower entries. Turns out I missed 30+ points but am fine waiting for more volatility.

Now that we are just chopping away right at all time highs, how much more is left in the tank? Should we find the best entry we can and hope or await first major retest?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels played out great especially the overnight defense of 5715 and prior rally to 5741. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right above the key 5733 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

While we did achieve a green pop to fresh all-time highs, the volume remains weaker over the last two sessions. This raises questions about the sustainability of this move.

Looking ahead, tomorrow we have new home sales data and a speech from an FOMC member after the close. It will be essential to monitor these economic indicators and any potential market reactions as we navigate through this volatile environment.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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