Wednesday July 31 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX tests the range. As we face FOMC, which way will $SPY break?

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In Monday’s letter, I wrote:

I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5491, 5507, & 5392. After a decent dip and rally we may have some momentum to target higher. If we push through 5491 directly I will want to be long. Then we can target 5507, 5525 and 5542. If we lose 5392, that’s where I want to be short now to target 5380, 5356 and even more.

This is what happened. The market opened, and we saw a push through 5491. We targeted 5507 and even made it up to a high of 5489.46. However, we didn’t maintain that strength throughout the day. We saw some back-and-forth movement that tested our key levels. Importantly, we managed to hold the must-hold levels of 5405 and 5392 repeatedly, showcasing some resilience even in after-hours trading.

See how well the levels work?

This brings us to the next question: where do we go from here? Are we setting ourselves up for another rally, or do we need to be cautious about potential pullbacks? The defense at 5405 and 5392 has proven effective, but with weaker momentum, we need to watch closely for any signs of weakness.

More in the trade plan below.

I had no trades today but will be back to trade tomorrow!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the key 5437 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

The market saw a large candle testing the range as we consolidate.

Quick volume check:

We experienced decent volume today, higher than the previous two sessions.

Tomorrow is action-packed with employment data prior to the open, followed by the FOMC rate decision and press conference in the afternoon. Stay tuned for potential volatility as these events unfold.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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