Wednesday July 10 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX continues the chop. When is first big test for $SPY?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

If we continue consolidating, it will likely be above 5554 and below 5594.

This is what happened. We defended overnight, rallied and chopped the open, hit a high of day midday at 5590.75 and then sold off to a low of day in the final hour to 5574.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we have yet again chopped around near the highs where do we go from here? When real volume returns, perhaps later this week, will we accept these highs or need more time for consolidation? What levels do we need to hold below to prevent first big sell? If the breakout continues, what targets above will confirm it?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Today was a scalper’s paradise if you could stomach it. We chopped in a narrow 10 point range for most of the day only selling off 15 from the high in the final hour. Didn’t get the retest I wanted to enter, but always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the 5575 key support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 1/5 & all overnight action.

The breakout is still on.

Quick volume check:

The weak volume continues - only slightly better than yesterday.

Tomorrow we have additional Powell testimony and 10 year bond auction with a couple FOMC member speeches thrown in.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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