Wednesday Feb 28 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX drops, defends and reclaims key levels to complete the V. Is $SPY ready for another breakout?

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What we’re reading:

In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX level of 5070.

If we can reclaim there by 4-5 points and hold, we can indicate the cool-down is over and continue targeting higher levels. First 5077…

If we cannot reclaim 5070 and we lose 5059, we are in for further selling. This is an area I would look to long on defense…

If we chop, it may be between 5059 or so to 5077, which would not be surprising given last week’s massive move.

This is what happened. In the morning we could not accept the reclaim of the 5070 level (5075+ and hold). So we ended up selling off all the way down to a low of 5057.29, just below the 5059 level before rallying afternoon and into the close to a high of 5080.69.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we’ve reclaimed/accepted the all important 5070 level, are we out of the woods? What are next targets and must hold levels below to keep us on a path higher?

More in the trade plan below.

The $SPY 1DTE 505 puts ran from a low of $78 to $141 = 81% gain.

I traded these from $90 to $126 for 40%. I also traded some 0DTE puts and then near the end of the day opened 10DTE calls. These I took 10% off into the close for profit and then will swing the rest overnight. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels from the prior letter were good. We couldn’t breakout the must reclaim level in the morning, then we came down to test target 1 to the downside, then it was all up from there. Once we saw the defense and breakout of level above we knew where we were headed. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5077 support level. What does this all mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 6/29 & all overnight action.

A lower low and a lower high but we defended and reclaimed critical level late in the day.

Quick volume check:

Even lower volume. Most of the day was down so this could (not confirmation yet) be good for a move higher.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

Tomorrow we have data pre & post open including GDP & fed member speeches.

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX level of…

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