Tuesday January 14 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX dips significantly and then defends sharply. What is next target for $SPY?

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In Friday’s letter, we wrote:

For Monday, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 5817, 5798, and 5781.

It’s bullish if we don’t lose 5817, with a potential long entry on a dip and defense at 5798. Must hold above 5781; otherwise, shorting below this level is the play.

If we hold and push higher, targets are 5836…

If we chop without making a significant move, it is likely above 5781 and below 5850.

This is what happened. After a bit of morning volatility, we dipped below and defended the 5781 level. After one final defense at this level we launched and recovered nearly 60 additional points to top out at 5838. The multiple defenses of 5781 turned out to be key for maintaining the long stance all the way to the close at the anticipated 5836 level.

See how well the levels work?

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Now that we’ve closed strongly at the highs of the day, what’s in store for tomorrow? What levels must we keep an eye on, and how does volume play into the next moves?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels were great even throughout the volatile chop. Sure, shorting a clear failure that could not recover of 5781 was an option, but we never gave it up, we kept finding a way to defend. This led to the 60 point run to top at the 5836 target above into the close. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5855 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Don’t miss the Topic Directory - Getting lots of questions that are answered in here.

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Trading Plan

This was a significant dip and rally daily candle, closing at the day's highs but on lighter volume.

Tomorrow, we have PPI data before the open as well as at least two FOMC members speaking during the session, which could contribute to further volatility and market reactions.

It’s essential to remain vigilant and adjust strategies as necessary based on the upcoming economic indicators and Fed commentary.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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