Tuesday February 4 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX spooked by tariff fears, but rebounds on delay news. How long will trade jitters haunt $SPY?

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In Friday’s letter, we wrote:

For Monday, we are watching the key SPX levels of 6052, 6032, and 6017.

If we lose 6017, we want to be short for the move to 5999, 5983, and 5966, with 5948 as a lower target.

This is what happened. We lost the critical 6017 level with the Sunday futures open, leading to a significant drop that took us below 5948, ultimately testing just above the 5900 mark before bouncing. After opening above 5966, we defended 5933, hitting a low of 5934.61, which was the lowest level we provided on Friday. However, the day turned around dramatically as we rallied back up through the 6017 level, reaching a high of 6022.13.

See how well the levels work?

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Now that we’ve experienced this dip and defense, what does the outlook look like moving forward? Where must we reclaim to push higher and what level is must hold to prevent another pullback? How much volatility is still to be introduced by the ongoing trade war?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.

The defense of 5933 and subsequent reclaim of 5999 triggered a nice long move after the overnight loss of multiple supports. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6023 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Don’t miss the Topic Directory - Getting lots of questions that are answered in here.

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Trading Plan

Today marked a significant dip and defense of the lows within the current range, accompanied by the highest volume we’ve seen in the last five sessions. This indicates that traders are actively engaging with the market, potentially setting the stage for further movement.

Looking ahead, tomorrow we have JOLTS data right after the open, which could provide additional insight into labor market dynamics. Additionally, we will have at least three FOMC members speaking, two during the regular session, which may influence market sentiment and direction. Keep an eye on these events as they could lead to increased volatility or shifts in trading strategies.

Canada has joined Mexico now with a delay for tariffs. For now.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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