Tuesday August 19 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX dips, defends and chops sideways below major resistance. When will $SPY make a real move?

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In Friday’s letter, we wrote:

For Monday, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 6438, 6468, and 6486. We’re settling into the close near the lows of the range, but if 6438 continues to hold, we’ll look for long entries on a direct defense there or on a dip and defense at 6444. From either setup, we can look for a push through 6455…

If 6438 is lost and we cannot reclaim it, we’ll flip short for a move to 6426.

This is what happened. The levels played out exceptionally well today. We had the 6444 defended multiple times, including during Sunday futures trading, and the 6438 level was repeatedly tested throughout the regular session. It held firmly as a strong floor, leading to a sideways consolidation that eventually propelled us to 6455, which acted as our ceiling for the day. Not surprisingly, both levels were listed as critical in the paragraph above. $SPY ( ▼ 0.02% )  $SPX ( ▼ 0.01% )  $ES_F ( 0.0% )  

See how well the levels work?

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With the market consolidating sideways, and the inability to breakout higher or breakdown for retests of lower supports, where do we go from here? What is the next catalyst and where must we hold or target to see a significant move?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.

The 6438 must hold support and 6555 strong resistance played out multiple times today throughout the sideways consolidation. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6444 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Trading Plan

Today was characterized by flat sideways consolidation on lower volume as traders await a catalyst for a breakout or breakdown.

Looking ahead, tomorrow brings new home data along with at least two FOMC members speaking during the session. These events could provide the necessary volatility we need to drive the market in one direction or the other.

We are receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping us develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but we’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, we’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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