Tuesday August 13 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX dips, defends and consolidates. Where does $SPY head next?

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In Friday’s letter, I wrote:

For Monday, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5319, 5292 and 5349. If we can hold 5319 now, or a quick dip and defend then we can target 5349, 5360 and levels higher without another retest. If we dip to level below 5319 we can still make our way up but it will be a longer route. Then we can target 5371…

This is what happened. The day began with a focus on defending the critical level of 5319, which we managed to hold. We pushed through 5349 and eventually reached a high of 5371.20, 20 cents from the 5371 level!

However, the session was marked by considerable chop, and we found it challenging to reclaim the 5349 level by the end of the day.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we’ve pushed up to 5371, but sold off and closed flat, where do we go from here? What levels should we focus on for tomorrow?

More in the trade plan below.

The $SPY 0DTE 535 calls ran from $44 to $177, 302% return.

I traded these calls. I took 50% off on a nice move and then scaled out of the rest using OCO orders. It was a solid execution on my part, particularly given the market's volatility throughout the day. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Overall, the levels provided a decent framework, but the day was characterized by a lot of chop. We knocked out 5349 and made that run to 5371.20, but the inability to reclaim 5349 by the end of the day leaves us with some uncertainty. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the key 5345 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 1/5 & all overnight action.

The daily candle formed a tight range doji, indicating indecision in the market.

Quick volume check:

We had one of the lower volume days as traders waited for the upcoming events this week.

Tomorrow, we have PPI data before the open and an FOMC member speech in the afternoon, which could bring additional volatility and direction to the market.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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