Thursday October 24 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX finally gets a major pullback. More pain or is it time to buy $SPY?

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In yesterday's letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5840, 5822, and 5810.

5810 is the last place I want to still try a long, but if we fail there, I want to short for a move to 5789 and 5777. If we cannot defend in that range, then 5764 is on the table.

This is what happened. After the market opened, we drifted lower, eventually defending at 5810 but after a small bounce the level failed. The inability to bounce back from that critical support was a significant tell. Once we fell through 5810, it was all downhill from there, leading us to a low of 5762.41, just shy of the 5764 level that I had highlighted previously. The failure at 5810 confirmed the bearish sentiment, and we saw a swift decline as traders reacted to the inability to find support.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we’ve seen a significant sell-off, where do we go from here? What key levels should we be watching, and what does the volume indicate about buyer sentiment?

More in the trade plan below.

I successfully traded the short position. The clear indication was after the bounce when we couldn't even reach the 5810 level again for a potential reclaim. This breakdown allowed me to capitalize on the downward movement effectively. More details in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

The loss of 5810 led to a much greater sell. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5802 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

This session marked the first significant sell-off in many days, and it came on decent volume—higher than the previous twelve sessions, indicating that sellers were indeed in control.

Looking ahead, tomorrow we have unemployment data, PMI, and at least one FOMC member speaking. These events could add further volatility to the market, so it's essential to stay alert and prepared for potential movements based on the economic indicators and announcements.

Traders should remain vigilant as these events unfold and consider how they might impact market sentiment and movement. Keep an eye on the critical levels and prepare accordingly.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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