Thursday July 11 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX breaks out to new ATH. What will CPI bring & what does volume say for $SPY?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5570 & 5554.

If we defend 5570 or better yet, not even retest, then 5600 could be within reach. This needs volume to take place and so far we haven’t seen it. The key data later this week hopefully brings the volume we need to move one way or the other.

5614 and 5637 are above that if we want it.

This is what happened. Believe it or not, and I’m honestly starting to have a hard time believing it. We have decided to not retest lower levels first before breaking out higher. We never needed to retest 5570 and we rallied all the way through 5614, took a breather and then rallied to a high of 5635.39 just below the 5637 target.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we have yet again broken out higher, what will CPI bring and what does volume tell us about this move?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

What a beautiful move higher. Surprising, perhaps, but beautiful. The levels clearly were in play. As crazy as it seems sometimes, continue to trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the 5626 key support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 1/5 & all overnight action.

Another day, another breakout.

Quick volume check:

The weak volume continues - only slightly better than yesterday. Still less than Friday 7/5. On a 60 point move I would expect double the volume.

Tomorrow we have CPI prior to the open and unemployment. Then we have a couple FOMC member speeches and 30 year bond auction.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, being CPI, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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