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- Thursday January 2 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Thursday January 2 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX runs up only to sell off. With a new year for $SPY, how long can bull market last?
In yesterday’s letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 5901, 5886, and 5922/5946. Ultimately, we need to put in a defense to see higher levels. This would look like a defense at 5886 or a dip and defense at 5901, which could be a long opportunity targeting 5922, 5933, and 5946. If we lose 5886, I would short for the move to 5872”
This is what happened. We had a challenging session today where we could not reclaim the critical level of 5946, reaching a high of 5929. Unfortunately, after that, we faced a rejection and fell below the key support of 5886. This sell trigger led us down to a low of 5868. It’s noteworthy that this move aligned closely with our downside target of 5872. After reaching that low, the market chopped for the remainder of the day, failing to reclaim 5886 into the close.
See how well the levels work?
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Now, with today's price action, we need to analyze where we go from here. The rejection at the lows of current range raises questions about the strength of buyers in the market. What levels do we need to hold to prevent further downside, and where could a potential bounce signal a shift?
More in the trade plan below.
Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.
Levels were great. Once we had the rejection of 5886 the sell was on down below the first downside target of 5872. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5885 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
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Trading Plan
On the daily, we observed a lower volume red candle with a bounce and rejection right at the bottom of our current range. This suggests some indecision in the market.
For Thursday, we have unemployment data along with PMI in the AM, which could serve as a catalyst for movement. Be on the lookout for any market-moving news over the holiday as we navigate through these key levels.
I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For Thursday, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…
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