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- Thursday February 12 2026 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Thursday February 12 2026 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX defends critical support overnight TO THE TICK to run 60 points then drops and consolidates into the close FLAT. Can $SPY still breakout?
In yesterday’s letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 6933, 6945, 6959 and 6973. Despite today’s drop, as long as we hold north of 6933 the bias remains to the upside and we want to target long entries on a dip & defense at 6945 or a direct defense at 6933, then push through 6959, 6973 and 6987…
If we lose 6933, however, we’ll flip short for a drop to 6921 and 6898.”
This is what happened. Today’s trading session was quite eventful, with both bullish and bearish scenarios playing out effectively. Overnight, SPX dropped down and defended the crucial support level of 6933 exactly (6953 ES), which was highlighted as the ‘must hold/short below’ level. Following this, we saw a rally back above 6945, peaking at 6973 SPX, just half a point from our resistance target. This significant 40-point move occurred before the market opened, which sparked a further run to high of day 6993 right after the open.
However, after reaching this high, the market faced selling pressure, consolidating and ultimately dropping below key supports. A quick trip below 6933 triggered more selling, bringing us down to a low of 6911. Despite this, the market rebounded, regained the 6933 level, and defended it multiple times, ending the day with a sideways consolidation. $SPY ( ▲ 0.17% ) $SPX ( ▲ 0.08% ) $ES_F ( 0.0% )
See how well the levels work?
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Now, as we assess the market’s current state, we have to ask ourselves: What happens next? Are we still poised for breakout, where must we hold to prevent major downside?
More in the trade plan below.
Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.





The dip overnight and defense at exactly 6953 ES / 6933 SPX was key indicator of bullish move that resulted in a 60 point run. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6944 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.
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Trading Plan
Today was a flat session, with the SPX closing less than half a point from yesterday’s close, but it was notable for having higher volume than the previous two trading days.
Looking ahead to tomorrow, we have additional unemployment data released prior to the open, along with a 30-year bond auction in the afternoon and at least two FOMC members scheduled to speak late in the day. These events could have a significant impact on market sentiment, so it’s crucial to remain alert and adjust our strategies as needed.
We are receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping us develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but we’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, we’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…
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