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- Thursday December 19 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Thursday December 19 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX faces massive sell off. Where does $SPY head now?
In yesterday’s letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 6074 and 6042 first, with 6098 and 6020 as secondary levels.
If we hold 6042 now, that would be a good step toward putting in a low, and a reclaim of 6074 would be even better. Both of these could be opportunities to get the long.
If we lose 6020, then I want to be short for the move to 6007, 5993, and 5977. If we can’t defend there, then 5961, 5939, and even 5925 are possible on FOMC.”
This is what happened. After defending the 6042 level initially, we saw a strong push upward, reaching a high of 6070.67, just below the key target of 6074. However, we couldn’t break out above this level. Post-FOMC, the market lost the critical support at 6020, which triggered the short opportunity I outlined. We not only fell through all the indicated levels but ultimately plummeted to a low of 5867.79 by the end of the session.
See how well the levels work?
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The initial defense of 6042 proved fruitful for a long, while the subsequent loss of 6020 provided a clear short signal, leading to a significant decline.
Now that we've experienced such a sharp drop, where do we go from here? What key levels should we be watching to determine the next potential move?
More in the trade plan below.
Today’s trades were focused on the long after the defense of 6042, which ran beautifully to the high of the day at 6070.67. Unfortunately, once we lost the 6020 level, the short was firmly on, leading to a breakdown through the levels down to 5867.79.
This was a clear illustration of the importance of respecting the levels. The beautiful layout of the levels we discussed resulted in both the initial long and the subsequent short opportunities.
Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.
Levels were phenomenal. The defense of 6042 got us long, then the failure and retest of 6020 triggered the short. That lead to a massive 153 point move lower. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5862 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
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Trading Plan
Today marked a monster 3% down day on very high volume.
Tomorrow, we have GDP and unemployment data prior to the open, along with some home sales data in the morning. This could lead to further volatility as traders react to the economic landscape, so be prepared for potential movement in either direction.
I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…
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