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- Thursday December 18 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Thursday December 18 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX loses key support triggering massive 1+% selloff. How much damage has been done and where must $SPY hold tomorrow?
In yesterday's letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 6765, 6785, 6802 and 6815. After defending 6765 into today’s close, the immediate bias remains to the upside provided we can reclaim and hold 6802; if we fail to do so, we remain cautious down to 6765. Conversely, a break below 6765 would flip the bias short for a move to 6753 and 6739, with a deeper breach targeting 6723”
This is what happened. The SPX levels we monitored played out exceptionally well today. We managed to hold the critical 6765 level overnight, which initially set a positive tone. However, by the time the market opened, we faced challenges holding the 6802 resistance. The loss of this level was pivotal, signaling caution and eventually leading to a breakdown below 6765. This triggered a sell-off through 6753 and 6739, culminating in a low of day at 6720.43, right at our downside target of 6723. $SPY ( ▲ 0.76% ) $SPX ( ▲ 0.79% ) $ES_F ( 0.0% )
See how well the levels work?
The Year-End Moves No One’s Watching
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In the final stretch, money rotates, funds window-dress, tax-loss selling meets bottom-fishing, and “Santa Rally” chatter turns into real tape. Most people notice after the move.
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Now, as we reflect on today’s action, we must consider where the market stands. With the downward pressure increasing, what levels should we watch for potential reversals or further declines? What must we reclaim to feel confident in a bullish stance again?
More in the trade plan below.



Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.
The loss of 6802 and 6765 were key signals that the market was heading lower. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6731 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
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Trading Plan
Today’s market action resulted in a significant drop of over 1% on heavy volume, highlighting the intensity of the selling pressure.
As we look ahead to tomorrow, we will be reacting to Trump’s speech tonight, along with CPI and key unemployment data scheduled for release prior to the open. These events are likely to impact market sentiment and could lead to further volatility, so it’s crucial to stay alert and be prepared for rapid shifts in market dynamics.
We are receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping us develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but we’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, we’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…
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