Thursday Apr 4 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX defends the dip then sells off. Is more pain ahead for $SPY?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX level of 5185.

If we defend at 5185 OR not even retest (more bullish if 5199 holds), we can make an attempt to reclaim 5215, targeting 5227 first.

This is what happened. We did not need to retest 5185 and 5199 mostly held with some failed breakdowns most notably before the open.

Then, after the open we reclaimed the 5215 level and blasted all the way to 5228.75, just above the first target listed above.

Then we chopped, dipped to test 5199 again and then reclaimed 5215 by the close/after hours.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we again defended key levels and then chopped, what does that tell us for the rest of the week? What levels above and below show us the way?

More in the trade plan below.

The $SPY 0DTE 520 calls ran from a low of $25 to $133 = 432% gain.

I traded these as called out in the chat with a scalp from $65 to $95 and then traded an SPX call later in the day. Unfortunately I was only able to call out “Long” and not the full position as it happened so fast. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels from the prior letter were great. It was key when we didn’t test the most critical level again and reclaimed the second key level prior to the open. Then we based for a blast up to first target. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the key 5213 support level. What does this all mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 6/29 & all overnight action.

Important to zoom out and take it all in once in a while. Yesterday we tested and defended the March 20th FOMC breakout origination. Today we opened above this point by 12 points and rallied a nice 34+ points. Now, even in after hours we are defending the lows of this new range.

Quick volume check:

Higher volume supports the move.

Tomorrow we have more unemployment data as well as a few Fed Member speeches.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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