Monday October 13 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX loses critical must hold support on tariff news and crashes through supports below. $SPY down 3% - where must we reclaim now?

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In yesterday’s letter, we wrote:

For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of 6703, 6720, 6741, and 6770 as the market continues filling out this range and, as noted yesterday, a drop from the top back to lower supports was expected. As long as we hold 6703 we remain biased to the upside, targeting long entries on a dip & defense of 6741 or 6720, or a direct defense at 6703, and an overnight hold of 6741 would further reinforce the bullish case. A push through 6746 would open 6757.

If, however, we lose 6703 we’ll flip to the short side for a slide into 6689, 6675, 6658, and 6638, with a break below 6638 exposing deeper sell-off targets.

This is what happened. Overnight we had a defense above the 6720 level before reaching a high of day right at the 6757 resistance into the open of the regular session. However, the mood shifted dramatically on tariff news, leading to a swift failure of the critical 6703 level, which we had warned would be a must-hold. Once that level broke, it triggered a sharp sell-off, sending the SPX tumbling to a low of 6550.78 by the close, marking a drop of more than 150 points from our key support. $SPY ( ▼ 2.7% )  $SPX ( ▼ 2.71% )  $ES_F ( 0.0% )  

See how well the levels work?

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Now, as we face a significant decline, where do we go from here? What levels should we focus on (and are must reclaim) in the coming days, and how can we position for potential recovery or further downside?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.

The failure of the 6703 must hold level was critical and led to a massive sell. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6514 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Trading Plan

Today’s move was a monster 2.7% down day on gigantic volume, signaling strong selling pressure.

As we look ahead to Monday, we have a quieter day planned with the first day of the IMF meeting and one FOMC member speaking during the session. Traders will be closely monitoring any updates on tariffs and the ongoing situation with China, as these factors could significantly influence market sentiment and direction-clearly as seen today.

We are receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping us develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but we’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, we’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For Monday, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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