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- Monday August 4 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Monday August 4 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX sells off 1.6%. How much more pain for $SPY?
In yesterday’s letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, we're closely watching the key SPX levels of 6350, 6323, and 6272. With the recent breakdown, bears are now in control, and our focus shifts to identifying short entries on continued weakness. If we fail to hold the 6323 level, we want to be short for a move to 6311 and likely 6287. A breakdown through that level puts 6272 on deck as a critical test. If we dip and defend 6272, we could try a long there for a bounce, but if that level fails as well, then we should expect continuation to 6258 and 6237, with even lower targets possible on volume.”
This is what happened. The market lost its grip on 6323 overnight, and once that floor gave way, it was a one-way trip down the staircase. As expected, we slid through 6311 and 6287, couldn’t find footing at 6272, and even tumbled past 6237. The selloff nearly hit the final downside target of 6209—missing it by just 3 points.$SPY ( ▲ 1.07% ) $SPX ( ▲ 1.13% ) $ES_F ( 0.0% )
See how well the levels work?
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Now that we have experienced such a significant move down, where do we go from here? What levels should we watch for potential reversals, and what does the volume tell us about the strength of this move?
More in the trade plan below.








Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.
Levels played out incredibly well as we had the loss of 6323 which triggered all downside targets to hit all the way to within 3 points of the final one provided yesterday. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 6235 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
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Trading Plan
The overall market today saw a significant decline, with a massive 1.6% drop on even higher volume than previously. This indicates strong selling pressure and bears’ control over the market.
Looking ahead to Monday, we have a very light day in terms of scheduled reports, but we should keep an eye on any trade deal news over the weekend, especially as the market reacts to the August 4th deadline. The sentiment heading into next week will be crucial, so stay tuned for any developments that may impact market dynamics.
We are receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping us develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but we’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, we’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For Monday, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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