Friday September 27 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX rallies overnight to new ATH then dips at the open. Does $SPY face more pain after this rejection at the highs?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5719…

We could long a dip and defense at 5719…to target levels above, with 5729 first and 5741 second. At this point, if we have volume, we can squeeze to the next major targets at 5760 and 5775…

This is what happened. After the close yesterday, the market held the 5724 level and never looked back, rallying all the way up to the 5775 target I had provided.

See how well the levels work?

We opened with a strong move, and I traded the $SPX 0DTE 5750 call on a reclaim of the 5741 level after a dip to 5729. This trade ran to 5748 before we dipped down to that low of 5721. It was a quick 50%. After hitting the low of the day we managed to reclaim 5741 again by the close, showing the strength of the market.

Now that we punched up and had a failed breakout at the highs, where do we go from here? What levels are must hold now and where must we breakout to feel better about the longer term trend?

More in the trade plan below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

We hit a low of 5721, right above the 5719 dip & defense level, before rallying back above 5741 to close. Always trust the levels.

Now we are sitting in AH right above the key 5746 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Volume was stronger than the prior three sessions, which contributed to the overnight move and the sell-off during the regular session, ultimately resulting in a green candle on the daily chart. Despite the fluctuations, the market demonstrated resilience.

Looking ahead, tomorrow is a lighter day in terms of scheduled events, but we have PCE and other data coming out prior to the open, along with consumer sentiment and at least one FOMC member speaking during the session. It's essential to remain cautious and attentive to market reactions as we navigate through these economic indicators.

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In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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