Friday May 31 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX loses critical level. How much more is ahead for $SPY?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5226 and 5293.

If we dip and defend 5226 I would try the long. I also may try the long off a reclaim of 5252.

If we chop without making a move it would most likely be above 5226 and below 5252 or so.

This is what happened. Unfortunately we couldn’t hold the 5252 reclaim and instead fell down for a dip and defense of 5226 end of day.

See how well the levels work?

Now that we’ve failed another key level, how much more pain is ahead? Where must we hold to prevent further selling and how will we know the bottom is in?

More in the trade plan below.

The $SPY 5DTE 528 calls ran from a low of $86 to $137 = 59% gain.

I traded these as called out in the chat from $109 to $136. This was my only trade. I was really wanting us to reclaim 5252 and hold it and make our way higher but had to just take the one move. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels from the prior letter were fine. We could not hold the 5252 level after multiple attempts and boring action finally gave way to a thrilling close lower. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the 5224 key support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 1/5 & all overnight action.

Forming a new range lower.

Quick volume check:

About the same volume as yesterday supporting this sell off.

Tomorrow we have PCE & Chicago PMI.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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