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- Friday May 16 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
Friday May 16 2025 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels
$SPX defends and takes another punch higher. Where must $SPY hold to prevent massive sell?
In yesterday's letter, we wrote:
For tomorrow, we're closely watching the key SPX levels of 5875, 5849, 5836, and 5900. Despite today's choppy consolidation, the levels that held continue to offer potential long opportunities. We’re looking to long a dip and defense at 5875—though those less risk averse may consider shorting moves that drop below this level and fail to reclaim it. A short from there would target 5862…
If not already positioned, 5862…offers a dip and defense long setup. From any of these setups, we can push back up through 5900, then 5917…”
This is what happened. The market had a strong focus of defending the critical levels we discussed. We had strong support at 5849, 5875, and 5862 with multiple long entries throughout both the overnight and regular sessions. Then in the regular session, low of the day was 5865.16, just above our identified long support level at 5862, which then led to a significant rally up to the high of the day at 5924.21. We closed DIRECTLY on the 5917 target support level, at 5916.93. $SPY ( ▲ 0.49% ) $SPX ( ▲ 0.41% ) $ES_F ( 0.0% )
See how well the levels work?
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Now, where do we go from here? With another 1/2% punch higher but macro conditions obviously weaker, what will win out?
More in the trade plan below.




Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how we played them today and what they mean for the next session.
The levels were amazing. We touched or dipped below the 5849, 5862 and 5875 levels all reclaiming to be a solid long entry for a move higher. Always trust the levels.
Now we are sitting in AH right on the key 5915 support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for our trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.
Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.
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Trading Plan
Today saw a nice half a percent move higher accompanied by good climbing daily volume.
For tomorrow, we have consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data, as well as at least two FOMC members speaking throughout the day-which happens to be Options Expiration! These events may lead to increased volatility, so stay alert and manage your positions carefully!
I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!
In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:
https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics
As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.
Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.
Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.
All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.
Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.
For tomorrow, we’re closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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