Friday July 12 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX spikes higher on CPI and then sells off. How much selling is left for $SPY?

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In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, being CPI, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of 5581 & 5611.

…we can rally up through 5643.

If we chop or have a nice shakeout in premarket CPI and then chop, it is likely above 5581 and below 5643.

This is what happened. The high of the day was 5642.45 during the intraday as prior to the open we spiked up higher on CPI. Then sold off hard and hit a low of 5576.53 after multiple defenses at 5581. Just look at the levels mentioned and the price action today!

See how well the levels work?

Now that we have failed multiple supports and finally had a sell off, is this it or is there more to come? How will we know and what role does volume and levels above and below us play?

More in the trade plan below.

The $SPX 0DTE 5575 puts ran from a low of $30 to $764 for 2,447% gain.

I traded these from $140 to well above $200 as called out in the chat. I should have hung on longer as I had the belief and vision we could continue down. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

A spike on CPI and then some consolidation before the bottom opening up and failing multiple supports. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right above the 5588 key support level. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

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Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 1/5 & all overnight action.

A spike up on CPI and then a down day that nearly took out yesterday’s gain. At one point we were down 1% but came off the lows.

Quick volume check:

There’s the volume! The rally of about the same size took place yesterday on half the volume, this was a warning bulls were exhausted.

Tomorrow we have PPI prior to the open and consumer sentiment 30 min into the regular session.

I am receiving some great questions from beginners. This is helping me develop guides for this group as well as the course. More to come but I’ve created a separate channel in the discord just so you can not be shy about bringing those questions to the group. No question is dumb, we grow stronger together!

In fact, I’ve created this single resource as a guide. It is a living document and we will continue updating it. You must be logged into the site to read it:

https://letter.spyoptionsactionablelevels.com/p/strategy-guide-the-basics

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I am closely watching the key SPX levels of…

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