Friday Jan 19 2024 SPY SPX ES Actionable Levels

$SPX defends key level, sets a local bottom and runs. Is $SPY about to make new all time highs?

Don’t miss the Topic Directory - Getting lots of questions that are answered in here.

There seems to be some confusion as to the premium subscription and the discord chat. If you are premium and you do not have access to the “Premium Members Only” channels including “members-only” please authenticate yourself in the “bot-request-premium” chat. Or send me a DM in the discord!

Also - if you missed it - join our chat during market hours for premium subscribers. We are now leveraging discord for this. Link is at the very bottom of premium content: Trading Plan section below.

Limited Time Left - Pre-Order at $83 - 16% off Regular Price

What we’re reading:

In yesterday’s letter, I wrote:

For tomorrow, I will be closely watching the must hold level of SPX 4720.

If we defend 4720 or not even retest, then we can work our way through 4739 to 4758 which we must reclaim to put in the short term low.

From there we could squeeze to 4776, 4797…

This is what happened. While we did not hit the 4797 SPX level yet, it is true that we didn’t even need to retest 4720 before breaking 4739, running to 4758, dipping to 4739 and then blasting up through 4776 to a high of 4785.79.

See how well the levels work?

After defenses of the key 4739 and a major run that took us past the key 4758 level to set a short-term low, where do we run from here? Are we on track for new all time highs?

More in the trade plan below.

The 1DTE $SPY 475 calls ran from a low of $54 to $266 = 393% gain.

I caught these from $97 to $138 for 42% called out in the chat. This was my only trade of the day. Had I wished I had re-entered after we dipped lower? Sure, but you are never going to catch all of the move. Be happy being consistent, growing the account and being profitable. More in the trade recap below.

Below, we’ll cover the actionable levels, how I played them today and what they mean for the next session.

Levels from the prior letter were phenomenal. Once we didn’t even need to test 4720 and then defended 4739 precisely before blasting off it was clear where we were headed. Always trust the levels!

Now we are sitting in AH right on the key support level. What does this all mean and where do we go from here? Read below for my trade plan which includes actionable support & resistance levels, outlook for the next session and today’s trade recap.

Learn the system to make 1-3 low risk, high reward trades per day using SPY/SPX options.

If you are enjoying this letter, consider sharing with a friend! We even have a referral program where you can earn free subscription time for referring others that sign up for a paid subscription.

Trading Plan

Here is a current check of the daily:

This includes all the way back to 6/29 & all overnight action.

A higher low and higher high. Right back near the top of this range we have been building for over a month.

Quick volume check:

Higher volume on a trend up day. Less than the prior high but more than yesterday and many other recent sessions.

Tomorrow we have some consumer sentiment data during the trading session. Additionally it’s opex which historically can be tough to trade.

As readers know trading after a massive move in either direction is risky.

Trying to predict when trend will break is a fool’s game because the trend can be stronger than you ever realize.

Going with the trend is hard because it has already run so far (or dropped) and move may be close to over.

All you can do is pick your entries carefully and with proper position sizing. Trading out 1-3 DTE or further also helps soften the blow.

Yes it will decrease the amount of profit but will greatly help keep you in a trade long enough to see return.

For tomorrow, I will be closely watching the must hold level of SPX…

Subscribe to Premium to read the rest.

Become a paying subscriber of Premium to get access to this post and other subscriber-only content.

Already a paying subscriber? Sign In.

A subscription gets you:

  • • Actionable SPY SPX Levels provided daily.
  • • Trade recap and current outlook and plan for the next session.
  • • Live Chat during market hours. Join the community including comments/discussion.
  • • Subscriber-only posts and full archive.